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2024-12-13 04:52:58

Chicago corn futures rose more than 1.5%, and the monthly report of USDA made the agricultural products market violently fluctuate. On Tuesday (December 10th) in late new york, CBOT corn futures rose 1.53% to 4.48-1/2 USD/bushel. After USDA released its inventory forecast report at 01:00 Beijing time, it broke the sideways consolidation state around 4.42 USD earlier in the day and accelerated. CBOT wheat futures rose 0.76% to $5.61/bushel. After the release of USDA monthly report, it fell below $5.56, then rebounded and refreshed above $5.63. CBOT soybean futures rose 0.53% to $ 9.95-1/4/bushel, and the USDA monthly report fell back to a level close to $9.90, then rebounded and approached the daily high of $10 refreshed at 23:41. Soybean meal futures rose by 0.97% and soybean oil futures fell by 0.21%.The crude oil futures of the previous issue closed up 0.25% at 530.8 yuan/barrel at night. Shanghai Gold closed up 0.67% at 626.52 yuan/g, and Shanghai Bank closed up 0.15% at 7962 yuan/kg.The latest 24-hour situation tracking of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the conflict situation: 1. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian troops controlled the village of Zhovte in eastern Ukraine. 2. The governor said that Russian missiles attacked Ukraine, killing three people and injuring five others. 3. Russian President Vladimir Putin: A sufficient number of Hazelnut missiles will effectively eliminate the need to use nuclear weapons. Others: 1. The U.S. Treasury Department announced that it would allocate 20 billion U.S. dollars in loans to Ukraine. 2. According to the Tass news agency, Russia resumed passenger railway traffic with North Korea. 3. President of Ukraine: The current focus is not on lowering the age of conscription in Ukraine. 4. Kremlin: Russian President Vladimir Putin met with Indian Defense Minister. 5. The United States approved the sale of F-16 fighter maintenance services and related equipment to the Ukrainian government at a cost of $266.4 million. 6. Kremlin: Russia's goal in Ukraine can be achieved through special military actions or negotiations. There are still no negotiations on Ukraine. 7. Belarusian President Lukashenko: There are about 30 locations in Belarus where hazel missiles can be deployed. The response to the invasion will be immediate, including the use of nuclear weapons.


Brent crude oil futures closed at $72.19 a barrel, up 0.07%.Market information: The murder suspect of CEO of United Health Insurance Business opposes extradition to new york to face charges.Ferrari CEO: Some parts of electric vehicles will be produced within the company, and other parts will be produced through strategic partners.


The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)The U.S. military said that two U.S. navy destroyers successfully intercepted weapons fired by Houthi forces during their voyage in the Gulf of Aden.The rapid rise of long-term debt reflects the hot sentiment in the bond market. On December 10th, the transaction interest rate of the 10-year active bond "240011" further dropped to 1.84%, hitting a record low. By the close of the day, treasury bonds futures rose across the board, and the main contract of representative 10-year treasury bonds futures hit a record high. Experts said that the loose expectation of monetary policy and the strong demand for institutional allocation constitute an important supporting factor for the recent bond market to continue to go bullish. But at the same time, as bond prices rise and yields fall, market volatility may also rise. (CSI)

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